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Adam Woodard. The statistics are based on the PGA Tours Shotlink system, which tracks each shot played on the tour. 1 on Tour in Par 4 Scoring and 2nd in Par 5 Scoring. Those at the top of Genesis Invitational odds boards rarely prove able to close the door at this event. How to watch the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday: Round 2 TV schedule, streaming, Is Jon Rahm now chasing Tiger Woods? After that, Im looking at a balanced mix of SG: ARG, SG: P (Poa, 5-10 ft), Scrambling, Sand Saves, Par-4: 450-500 and Par-5 Scoring. As always here atTheLines, well go over an early look at the tournament, giving you what you need to know before the Genesis Invitational odds even hit the board. Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. With that said, there is no set formula to find success at Bay Hill, but prior success in demanding conditions tend to be the best indicator. Tiger Woods became the host and face of this event since transitioning to a more prestigious Invitational designation in 2020. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). It's also why Scott talks a lot about how it's much easier to avoid making bogeys than it is to make birdies. The courses are very different, but an emphasis on creative shot making is prevalent on both courses. Her 3-, 5- and 7-woods carry 195, 185 and 174 yards, respectively and total 218, 200 and 186 yards. Quail Hollow would seem to be the best place to start when looking for comps to Bay Hill. Note the powerful, quiet 30v 230w motor nestling in a low profile, styled PowaFrame with the new unique Plug'n'Play 30-volt Max battery and motor system. Matsuyama, Young, Homa, and Sungjae Im are all players Ill be keeping a close eye on when odds release Monday. What makes Bay Hill so great is the diversity of leaderboards weve seen here. Though Mr. Palmer has passed on, the tinkering at Bay Hill continues. SG: P (20-25 ft), P3: 200+andDriving Distancealso saw notable increases in importance compared to TOUR average. From a leaderboard overlap standpoint, Quail Hollow and Augusta National would have to be up there. According to 2009 LPGA statistics, the average female professional's driver carries 220 yards and travels 246 total yards. Colt Knost and the other PGA Tour pros that called Royal Oaks Golf Club in Dallas home used to call Scottie Scheffler their little shadow. For the 2019 season, the leaders in corrected proximity were Justin Thomas, Henrik Stenson and Viktor Hovland. Matsuyama ranks No. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. He didnt look great in exhibition display in Decembers The Match, but it will be interesting to see what a couple more months of rest and rehabilitation can do for his ailing Plantar Fasciitis. June 12, 2022 . Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? These are the USGA guidelines for the par on each hole based on length. Less than half their approach shots are ending up inside. Even they will struggle to hit a high percentage of fairways with the firm conditions, undulated runoffs, and intermittent pick ups in wind. Only 80.4 percent of PGA Tour pros hit the green from 115 yards out in the fairway, which means that 1 in 5 miss the green altogether. The win foreshadowed better results later to come for Scheffler in Majors. Driving Accuracy specialists like Reavie, Kuchar, and Donald found their fair share of success here. Open rough-length as the players see all season outside of the major championships. He put all of his shot-making skillsets on display from start to finish and used this event as an emphatic statement to be taken seriously among golfs rising stars. On a calm day, Riviera presents one of the toughest challenges we see across golf. The Bermuda grass greens are bigger than average Tour size and they are firm and fast. After McIlroy, my models top-10 rounds out with: Homa, Finau, Morikawa, Rahm, Sungjae Im, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, and Scheffler. As for stats to avoid,Prox 75-125andSand Saves Gainedsaw the biggest drop in importance. The "feel" isn't necessarily the feeling of the ball making contact with the putter face. Riviera CC is one of the most iconic venues on the PGA TOUR schedule. With the strongest field weve seen in recent memory on tap this week, the stakes will be higher than ever before. Ten feet farther from the hole on 72 approach shots is an enormous difference. You cant bomb-and-gouge Riviera given all the elevation changes and forced layups from angular tree lines. Whats in my bag? We hate touts. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! With a winning score of -12 or less in five of the last six contests, the ability to repeatedly scramble for pars is a premium skillset to bring to Bay Hill. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson were the only other tour players to top the 300-yard mark, as both averaged 302.1 yards on their drives. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. We know he is an elite iron player, he ranks No. Their full shot distances are longer. Scott has not missed a cut since the PGA Championship in May 2022, and has four top-6 finishes over his last nine starts. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. I was making an appearance on SportsGrid Radio last Sunday night, recapping the Honda Classic and looking ahead to Bay Hill. Caseys proximity was recorded as 90 feet worse than Furyks, but he was putting for eagle! . Even a flawless shot might result in a double bogey! Proximity to the hole is measured by the average distance the ball comes to rest from the hole after the player's approach. My guess is your winner will have to be excellent in at least two of those three areas this week. For PGA and LPGA players, the best data available tracks carry distance. We saw Scottie Scheffler win at both tracks last year. Now we head for another one of the elevated events, The Arnold Palmer Invitational and he has five more picks as well as a comprehensive preview. As we flip the calendar to March, some madness in the world of golf is likely on tap in the coming weeks as well. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Scheffler's winning 72-hole score of minus-5 last year was the second in three years but also . More importantly, how could he have ranked 7th with such poor proximity to the pin numbers? PGA Tour players of the early 21st century unquestionably hit the ball farther than throughout the 20th century. After the first hole, the two other par-5s and 315-yard par-4 10th are the only other holes to feature a scoring average below par. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). However, the defending champion but will not be in the field for his title defense after leaving the PGA TOUR behind for LIV. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Just six players rate out above average in each of those categories: McIlroy, Homa, Finau, Rahm, Cantlay, and Scheffler. For the week, Casey ranked 9th in driving accuracy, 6th in strokes gained off the tee and 9th in SG around the green. The Country Club, Bethpage Black, Winged Foot, Torrey Pines (South), The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, and Augusta National all serve as strong comps to simulate scoring in difficult conditions. Lets also remember, he lost in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler last year at TPC Scottsdale, one of our correlated courses. Ever heard of him? How to Decide Which Set of Golf Tees to Play On Course - TripSavvy Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. 2020 U.S. Open champion has a one-stroke lead over Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm a hole-out longer! PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) Nicolai Cetti Engstrm. This may be good week to monitor U.S. Open futures if value players impress. As a PGA Tour Professional, you would assume that the yardages would again be perfect and they're close, with an average of 150.8 yards. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. Like last week at TPC Scottsdale, correlation stats at Riviera CC are fairly on par with the TOUR average. On average a professional golfer on the PGA Tour or LPGA Tour will hit pitching wedges an average distance of 130-150 yards. On the same round and hole, Casey hit his second shot from 271 yards in the fairway to 98 feet. The Twitter handle is a joke. This is one of the rare weeks on the PGA TOUR where Course History is sticky enough to prioritize over Comp Course History. No, he is not a tout. Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks, Predictions, Odds 2023: Rahm, McIlroy There is a long list of players who have enjoyed repeated success at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Pros v. Amateurs: Shots from 100 yards and 150 yards Id also adjust for course difficulty and strength of field to get a measure of corrected proximity. And so I did. Inside the top 10 were major winners Louis Oosthuizen, Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson. Since 2015, Matsuyama has posted four top-11 finishes in seven appearances. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) The top-10 players in SG: APP entering this week are Tom Hoge, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, and Shane Lowry. In this field over the last 36 rounds, Day is 8th in SG Ball Striking, 11th in SG Approach, and 20th in SG Putting. This new stat measures which PGA Tour players REALLY hit it closest - Golf The wind at the Genesis Invitational today is absolutely insane!pic.twitter.com/TMz44EvdDq. Annually one of the most difficult scoring venues on the PGA TOUR schedule, its always a good idea to reference recent Major results in Arnold Palmer Invitational week, as Scheffler foreshadowed with his 2022 victory. But, the fit is undeniable as the World No. For the par-4s, many of these approaches will come from the rough with players hitting less than 50% of fairways on average. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Id say Im committed regardless of the odds, and in addition to Zalatoris, will also be considering Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, and Sam Burns for my betting card when Arnold Palmer Invitational odds are released on Monday. As far as correlated courses, I looked at Scottsdale. Fun fact, it will host the Olympic Mens Golf competition in 2028. Is he going to win? He was the first round leader at this event last year, and has now posted the low round of the day in the last seven API events.